Qualcomm (QCOM) price forecast

Qualcomm is trading at 162.88. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 157.78 and 166.81— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The model puts the odds of finishing lower at 57%. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Qualcomm forecast by timeframe

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Qualcomm?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

Backtested on 1925unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Qualcomm

The model sees Qualcomm essentially flat near its current 162.88 across the near term, with a slight downward drift over longer windows. Over one week it expects roughly 162.75 (range 149.58 to 177.11), with a 55.5% chance of finishing higher. The one-month expected price is 161.88 (range 136.58 to 192.26, 44.6% up), and the one-year figure is 154.21 with a very wide 84.69 to 281.21 band and a 45.3% up probability. Confidence declines from moderate to very low across these horizons. The huge one-year range reflects 46.47% annualised volatility, and the -17.01% trailing month underlines recent weakness. On edge, the model is unimpressive: it beats its naive baseline only at seven days (53.5% vs 52.8%), roughly ties at one day (52.4% vs 52.0%), and underperforms at 30 days (49.1% vs 53.8%). Given that thin-to-negative edge and high volatility, a shift in realised volatility or momentum would quickly undermine these near-flat expectations.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Qualcomm and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

Other stock forecasts

Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.