Palantir (PLTR) price forecast

Palantir is trading at 123.00. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 118.50 and 128.08— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Palantir forecast by timeframe

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Palantir?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

Backtested on 1050unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Palantir

The model expects modest near-term gains for PLTR from a current price of 123. Over one week it projects roughly 125 (+1.55%), with a 10th-to-90th percentile band of about 111 to 140 and a 59% chance of finishing higher. The one-month view centers near 131 (+6.26%, 61% up), and the one-year projection is about 262 (+112.79%, 88% up) — but with a very wide range of roughly 116 to 589. Reliability is tagged moderate, low, and very low respectively. That confidence erodes fast because annualised volatility is high at 62.79%, widening every forward range. Recent momentum has been strong, with a trailing month gain of 22.62%. Crucially, the ML model does not beat the naive baseline at any horizon: accuracy of 49.9%, 48.7% and 46.9% at 1, 7 and 30 days trails baselines of 52.2%, 55.2% and 59.7%. Given no measurable edge, high volatility, or a break in recent momentum could each invalidate this outlook.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Palantir and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

Other stock forecasts

Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.