Coneview

Oracle (ORCL) price forecast

US inflation report (CPI)Tue, Nov 10· typically 1.8× a normal day· Your 4 Hours view ends before it — it's priced into the 1 Month range and longer.

Oracle is trading at 122.00. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 116.08 and 128.80— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Price history & forecast cone — 10th–90th percentile of 20,000 simulated futures

144.05135.56127.08118.59NOW+4H · 9:10 PMP90 128.80 · 90th pctP10 116.08 · 10th pct

Oracle forecast by timeframe

TimeframeLikely rangeMidpointOdds higher
5 Minutes121.33 – 122.73122.0050%
15 Minutes120.76 – 123.36122.0050%
1 Hour118.99 – 125.36122.0050%
4 Hours116.08 – 128.80122.0250%
30 MinutesAvailable on Pro →
1 DayAvailable on Pro →
1 WeekAvailable on Pro →
1 MonthAvailable on Pro →
6 MonthsAvailable on Pro →
1 YearAvailable on Pro →
5 YearsAvailable on Pro →

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Oracle?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

HorizonDirectional accuracyBaselineEdgeVerdict
1-day52.4%52.5%-0.1%no edge
7-day53.1%53.1%+0.0%no edge
30-day52.9%55.8%-3.0%no edge

Backtested on 1925unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Oracle

Over the next week the model puts the odds of ORCL rising at 55%, with a likely range of 109.96–136.45 around an expected 122.58. Price has moved -13.8% over the trailing month. A year out, the median simulated path implies +13.8%, but the 10–90% band spans 75.35–257.51 — at 74% annualised volatility, the range matters more than the midpoint. In walk-forward backtests the ML classifier shows no reliable edge over a naive baseline on this asset, so treat short-term direction as roughly a coin toss and rely on the ranges. US inflation report (CPI) lands on 2026-11-10 — across its last 11 of these it has moved 3.5% on the day, about 1.8x a normal one. The ranges above already widen to account for it. These are probabilistic estimates from historical prices only — a volatility regime change, or news the model cannot see, would invalidate them. Not financial advice.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Oracle and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

See the live Oracle forecast

Streaming prices, an interactive cone across every timeframe, and the full honesty scorecard.

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Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.