Nike (NKE) price forecast

Nike is trading at 43.22. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 42.24 and 44.31— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Nike forecast by timeframe

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Nike?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

Backtested on 1925unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Nike

From a current price of about 43.22, the model expects little near-term movement, with a 1-week expected price near 43 (range roughly 40 to 46) and a slight negative expected return of -0.51%, alongside a 58% chance of finishing higher. The 1-month view softens to about 42 (-2.35%, 55% up), while the 1-year projection drops to about 33 (-23.61%), with only a 24% probability of gains and a wide range from 20 to 54. Reliability is labelled moderate, low, and very low across these horizons. The wide ranges reflect an annualised volatility of 38.06%, even though the trailing month rose 3.03%. Critically, the ML model shows no measurable edge: at 1, 7, and 30 days its accuracy (51.1%, 51.0%, 47.2%) fails to beat the naive baseline (50.7%, 51.1%, 50.1%). Treat these projections with heavy skepticism. Sustained volatility shifts, a break from recent momentum, or the model's persistent failure to outperform its baseline could all invalidate this outlook.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Nike and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

Other stock forecasts

Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.