Coneview

Coinbase (COIN) price forecast

Coinbase is trading at 134.76. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 127.40 and 142.16— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Price history & forecast cone — 10th–90th percentile of 20,000 simulated futures

150.41143.43136.45129.46NOW+4H · 6:33 AMP90 142.16 · 90th pctP10 127.40 · 10th pct

Coinbase forecast by timeframe

TimeframeLikely rangeMidpointOdds higher
5 Minutes134.13 – 135.36134.7650%
15 Minutes133.55 – 135.91134.7650%
1 Hour131.01 – 138.41134.7650%
4 Hours127.40 – 142.16134.7850%
30 MinutesAvailable on Pro →
1 DayAvailable on Pro →
1 WeekAvailable on Pro →
1 MonthAvailable on Pro →
6 MonthsAvailable on Pro →
1 YearAvailable on Pro →
5 YearsAvailable on Pro →

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Coinbase?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

HorizonDirectional accuracyBaselineEdgeVerdict
1-day50.0%52.6%-2.6%no edge
7-day48.2%51.3%-3.1%no edge
30-day49.9%51.7%-1.8%no edge

Backtested on 1000unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Coinbase

Over the next week the model puts the odds of COIN rising at 42%, with a likely range of 118.01–153.41 around an expected 134.81. Price has moved -21.6% over the trailing month. A year out, the median simulated path implies +3.6%, but the 10–90% band spans 64.47–373.31 — at 84% annualised volatility, the range matters more than the midpoint. In walk-forward backtests the ML classifier shows no reliable edge over a naive baseline on this asset, so treat short-term direction as roughly a coin toss and rely on the ranges. These are probabilistic estimates from historical prices only — a volatility regime change, or news the model cannot see, would invalidate them. Not financial advice.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Coinbase and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

See the live Coinbase forecast

Streaming prices, an interactive cone across every timeframe, and the full honesty scorecard.

Open Coinbase in Coneview →

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Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.