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Coca-Cola (KO) price forecast

Coca-Cola is trading at 89.08. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 87.42 and 91.22— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The model puts the odds of finishing higher at 56%. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Price history & forecast cone — 10th–90th percentile of 20,000 simulated futures

90.4787.9385.3982.85NOW+4H · 3:35 PMP90 91.22 · 90th pctP10 87.42 · 10th pct

Coca-Cola forecast by timeframe

TimeframeLikely rangeMidpointOdds higher
5 Minutes88.7689.4489.1053%
15 Minutes88.5589.7389.1455%
1 Hour88.1990.0989.1453%
4 Hours87.4291.2289.3056%
30 MinutesAvailable on Pro →
1 DayAvailable on Pro →
1 WeekAvailable on Pro →
1 MonthAvailable on Pro →
6 MonthsAvailable on Pro →
1 YearAvailable on Pro →
5 YearsAvailable on Pro →

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Coca-Cola?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

HorizonDirectional accuracyBaselineEdgeVerdict
1-day52.0%52.5%-0.5%no edge
7-day54.3%54.6%-0.3%no edge
30-day58.3%61.4%-3.0%no edge

Backtested on 1925unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Coca-Cola

The model sees KO drifting modestly higher from its current 89.08. Over one week it expects roughly 89.36 (a 0.32% return), with a 60% chance of a gain and a p10–p90 range of about 87 to 92. The one-month expected price is around 90.19 (1.25%, 58% up), and the one-year figure is 104 (16.87%, 81% up) — but reliability is tagged moderate, low, and very low respectively, so confidence fades fast with time. Annualised volatility is a relatively contained 17.59%, and trailing-month momentum is positive at 4.54%, consistent with the mild upward drift. That said, the ML model shows no measurable edge: at 1, 7, and 30 days its accuracy (52.0%, 54.3%, 58.3%) trails the naive baseline (52.5%, 54.6%, 61.4%) every time. It fails to beat a simple benchmark. A shift in realised volatility, a reversal of the recent positive momentum, or a break outside the stated p10–p90 bands would undercut this outlook.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Coca-Cola and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

See the live Coca-Cola forecast

Streaming prices, an interactive cone across every timeframe, and the full honesty scorecard.

Open Coca-Cola in Coneview →

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Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.