Coneview

Broadcom (AVGO) price forecast

Federal Reserve interest rate decisionWed, Dec 9· typically 1.4× a normal day· Your 4 Hours view ends before it — it's priced into the 6 Months range and longer.

Broadcom is trading at 293.69. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 282.26 and 304.75— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Price history & forecast cone — 10th–90th percentile of 20,000 simulated futures

328.25314.30300.34286.39NOW+4H · 3:21 PMP90 304.75 · 90th pctP10 282.26 · 10th pct

Broadcom forecast by timeframe

TimeframeLikely rangeMidpointOdds higher
5 Minutes292.07 – 295.20293.6950%
15 Minutes290.68 – 296.51293.6950%
1 Hour287.89 – 299.18293.7050%
4 Hours282.26 – 304.75293.7350%
30 MinutesAvailable on Pro →
1 DayAvailable on Pro →
1 WeekAvailable on Pro →
1 MonthAvailable on Pro →
6 MonthsAvailable on Pro →
1 YearAvailable on Pro →
5 YearsAvailable on Pro →

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Broadcom?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

HorizonDirectional accuracyBaselineEdgeVerdict
1-day52.1%53.2%-1.1%no edge
7-day55.6%55.6%-0.1%no edge
30-day62.9%63.5%-0.7%no edge

Backtested on 1925unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Broadcom

Over the next week the model puts the odds of AVGO rising at 58%, with a likely range of 265.13–323.32 around an expected 294.67. Price has moved -18.4% over the trailing month. A year out, the median simulated path implies +14.4%, but the 10–90% band spans 188.90–585.30 — at 64% annualised volatility, the range matters more than the midpoint. In walk-forward backtests the ML classifier shows no reliable edge over a naive baseline on this asset, so treat short-term direction as roughly a coin toss and rely on the ranges. Federal Reserve interest rate decision lands on 2026-12-09 — across its last 23 of these it has moved 2.8% on the day, about 1.4x a normal one. The ranges above already widen to account for it. These are probabilistic estimates from historical prices only — a volatility regime change, or news the model cannot see, would invalidate them. Not financial advice.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Broadcom and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

See the live Broadcom forecast

Streaming prices, an interactive cone across every timeframe, and the full honesty scorecard.

Open Broadcom in Coneview →

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Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.