Coneview

Soybean Futures (ZS=F) price forecast

Soybean Futures is trading at 1,280. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 1,269 and 1,292— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Price history & forecast cone — 10th–90th percentile of 20,000 simulated futures

1,3271,3091,2921,274NOW+4H · 7:53 PMP90 1,292 · 90th pctP10 1,269 · 10th pct

Soybean Futures forecast by timeframe

TimeframeLikely rangeMidpointOdds higher
5 Minutes1,2781,2821,28050%
15 Minutes1,2771,2841,28050%
1 Hour1,2751,2861,28050%
4 Hours1,2691,2921,28050%
30 MinutesAvailable on Pro →
1 DayAvailable on Pro →
1 WeekAvailable on Pro →
1 MonthAvailable on Pro →
6 MonthsAvailable on Pro →
1 YearAvailable on Pro →
5 YearsAvailable on Pro →

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Soybean Futures?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

HorizonDirectional accuracyBaselineEdgeVerdict
1-day47.2%52.2%-5.0%no edge
7-day46.9%51.4%-4.5%no edge
30-day45.6%52.4%-6.8%no edge

Backtested on 1795unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Soybean Futures

Over the next week the model puts the odds of ZS=F rising at 52%, with a likely range of 1,243–1,320 around an expected 1,281. Price has moved +13.4% over the trailing month. A year out, the median simulated path implies +1.8%, but the 10–90% band spans 1,034–1,631 — at 18% annualised volatility, the range matters more than the midpoint. In walk-forward backtests the ML classifier shows no reliable edge over a naive baseline on this asset, so treat short-term direction as roughly a coin toss and rely on the ranges. These are probabilistic estimates from historical prices only — a volatility regime change, or news the model cannot see, would invalidate them. Not financial advice.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Soybean Futures and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

See the live Soybean Futures forecast

Streaming prices, an interactive cone across every timeframe, and the full honesty scorecard.

Open Soybean Futures in Coneview →

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Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.