Silver Futures (SI=F) price forecast

Silver Futures is trading at 57.63. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 56.85 and 58.39— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The odds of finishing higher are near a coin toss, so the model claims no directional signal here — the range is the whole forecast. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Silver Futures forecast by timeframe

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Silver Futures?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

Backtested on 860unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Silver Futures

From a current price of about 57.63, the model expects only modest near-term drift: roughly 58.05 in a week (prob_up 51.6%) and 59.22 in a month (prob_up 54.2%), with a longer one-year projection near 82 (prob_up 74.3%). Confidence weakens as the horizon lengthens — reliability runs from moderate at one week to low at one month and very low at one year, and the ranges widen sharply, from 52.74–63.90 at a week to 41–162 at a year. That spread reflects high annualised volatility of 52.78%, while trailing-month momentum is essentially flat at +1.89%. The ML model shows no edge at short horizons — 53.1% accuracy versus a 55.2% baseline at one day, and 53.9% versus 56.7% at one week — so those calls are worse than the naive benchmark. Only at 30 days does it beat baseline, 61.3% versus 58.7%. Given the wide ranges and steep volatility, any sharp move could push prices outside these bands and invalidate the projections, particularly at the low-reliability longer horizons.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Silver Futures and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

Other commodity forecasts

Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.