Corn Futures (ZC=F) price forecast

Corn Futures is trading at 481.25. Over the next 4 hours our simulation puts it between 477.32 and 486.21— that's the 10th-to-90th percentile of 20,000 modelled outcomes, so roughly four times in five it should land inside that band. The model puts the odds of finishing higher at 56%. These are probabilities, not predictions of certainty, and the backtest below shows exactly how often the model has been right.

Corn Futures forecast by timeframe

Intraday horizons are free. Longer horizons — 1 day through 5 years — are part of Pro.

How accurate has this model been on Corn Futures?

Every forecast site claims accuracy. Here is ours, measured by walk-forward backtest on data the model never saw during training. Where it has no edge over a naive baseline, we say so.

Backtested on 1790unseen samples. "No edge" means the model was no better than assuming the recent trend continues — an honest result, and a common one.

What the model is saying about Corn Futures

From a starting point of 481.25, the model sees only modest drift higher. Over one week it expects about 482.06 (+0.17%), over one month 484.08 (+0.59%), and over one year 520.66 (+8.19%). Confidence is limited: the probability of an upward move is 53.9% at one week, 52.2% at one month, and 65.2% at one year, with reliability rated moderate, low, and very low respectively. Ranges widen sharply with time — the one-year 10th-to-90th percentile band spans roughly 401 to 677. The context is a 20.31% annualised volatility and a strong trailing-month gain of 14.35%, which helps explain the wide forecast cones. Bluntly, the ML model shows no measurable edge: at 1, 7, and 30 days its accuracy (48.3%, 50.2%, 49.3%) trails the naive baseline (50.2%, 52.5%, 53.7%) every time. Elevated volatility, the very low longer-horizon reliability, and the model's failure to beat a coin-flip baseline all argue for treating these numbers cautiously; a shift in that volatility or momentum backdrop would undermine the outlook.

How to read this forecast

We don't publish a single price target, because nobody can know one. Instead the engine runs 20,000 simulated futures for Corn Futures and reports the band containing the middle 80% of them — the 10th to 90th percentile. A wide band means genuine uncertainty; a narrow one means the recent range has been calm. The odds higher figure is a calibrated probability: when we say 60%, outcomes of that kind should finish higher about 60 times in 100. Near 50% there is no directional signal at all, and the range itself is the entire forecast.

More depth: what a forecast cone is, how to read a P10–P90 range, and what makes a probability trustworthy. Our public accuracy scorecard shows where the model has an edge — and where it has none.

Other commodity forecasts

Forecasts are probabilistic estimates from historical price data, not financial advice. Short-horizon direction has only a small measurable edge; long-horizon numbers reflect drift plus widening uncertainty and should be read as ranges, not targets. Figures update hourly. Coneview provides statistical market information, not financial advice.